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东谈西论

纵观天下,监测中国心跳,由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》,每周探讨国际热点话题,分析国际政治动态。
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16 Apr, 2024
韩国4月10日举行国会选举。总统尹锡悦所属的国民力量党惨败,在野力量大胜。在选举中,属于进步派的反对党共同民主党,在300个议席中拿下了175个席位,再加上其他反对党的斩获,在野阵营一共掌握了192席。相比之下执政的保守阵营只获得108个席位。 这次选举也创下了67%的投票率,是32年来的最高纪录。选举前朝野都全力动员,将这次选举塑造为对对手的审判,这也加剧了社会的严重对立。 如今面对民意的反扑,尹锡悦下来三年会继续面对跛脚的局面。这对他的施政会产生什么影响?本身也官司缠身的反对党党首李在明会弹劾尹锡悦吗? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》首尔通讯员姜贵瑛解析尹锡悦在国会选举中惨败的原因。 延伸阅读: 姜贵瑛:尹锡悦“期中考”面临严峻考验 王庆民:韩国国会选举翻转尹锡悦优势 South Korea’s President Yoon Suk-yeol suffered a major defeat in the parliamentary elections on April 10. The progressive opposition Democratic Party clinched a landslide victory, securing 175 out of 300 seats, while the opposition coalition seized 192 seats. In stark contrast, Mr Yoon’s People Power Party (PPP) only managed to secure 108 seats. Notably, voter turnout surged to 67%, marking the highest participation rate in 32 years. The intense campaign leading up to the elections saw both ruling and opposition factions fiercely framing the contest as a trial of their adversaries, exacerbating social tensions. The election result has left Mr Yoon facing the prospect of becoming a lame-duck president for the remaining three years in office. How will the electoral setback affect his ability to push through policies? On the other hand, will the scandal-plagued opposition leader Lee Jae-myung pursue impeachment proceedings against Mr Yoon?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Seoul Correspondent Kang Gwi Young explains the reasons behind the heavy defeat of South Korea's ruling party in the recent election. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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11 Apr, 2024
时隔九年,中国大陆国家主席习近平以及台湾前总统马英九再次见面,地点是北京人民大会堂东大厅。马英九虽已卸任,无官职在身,但仍受到北京超高规格的接待。 这是马英九第二次访问大陆。他率领的“大九学堂”台湾青年学子在4月1日启程,从台湾前往广东、陕西与北京。途中马英九多次动情。他在参观孙中山故居、到黄花岗七十二烈士墓园献花、公祭黄帝谈到“炎黄子孙的骄傲”、在万里长城唱抗日歌曲时都忍不住哽咽。 此行的高潮是4月10日下午他与习近平的会见。  马英九还口误,将文字稿中的中华民族念成了中华民国。 习马二会释放了什么信息?马英九在会面中是真口误还是假口误?在台湾民进党继续执政的现实中,国共两党强调民族认同与九二共识,能改变什么? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和联合早报驻台北记者缪宗翰解析习马二会释放的信息。 延伸阅读: 睽违九年习近平马英九北京再会面 学者点评:两岸当前刺骨寒风中的一股暖流 习马二会马英九开场谈话全文 Chinese President Xi Jinping held rare talks with former Taiwanese president Ma Ying-jeou in Beijing on April 10. It is the first time a former leader of Taiwan has been hosted by China's top leader in Beijing, since the Kuomintang fled to Taipei in 1949. It is also the first meeting between the two men since their landmark summit in Singapore in 2015.  Ma, who was travelling in a personal capacity, called this trip a “journey of peace”. In his opening remarks, Ma made a blunder by referring to the "Chinese nation" as "Republic of China". Was Ma's slip of the tongue intentional? Did the meeting resolve differences between Beijing and Taipei?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Taipei correspondent Zong-Han Miaw joins host Han Yong Hong to discuss the second Xi-Ma meeting and its impact on the cross-strait ties.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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2 Apr, 2024
美国财政部长耶伦4月初将访问中国。出发前,耶伦先发制人,在美国乔治亚州发表演讲时指责中国对电动车、锂电池和光伏产品进行大量补贴,形成了过剩产能,扭曲了国际市场价格,最终伤害了美国企业与美国工人的利益,还损害了世界经济的韧性。 什么叫过剩产能?中国的过剩产能为何在此刻成为中美贸易摩擦的最新来源? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑解析耶伦对中国提出过剩产能这个问题,目的是什么? 延伸阅读: 韩咏红:耶伦向中国过剩产能发难 杨丹旭:中国经济寒冬难熬? US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is planning to visit China this month. Last Wednesday, during a visit to a solar cell manufacturing plant in the state of Georgia, Yellen said that she intends to warn China about the negative effects of Beijing’s subsidies for its clean energy industries, including electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries and solar panels.   "I will convey my belief that excess capacity poses risks not only to American workers and firms and to the global economy, but also productivity and growth in the Chinese economy,” she said.   What does Yellen mean by “excess capacity” and why is the US raising this issue now?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, joins host Han Yong Hong to discuss Yellen’s trip to China and her recent remarks concerning China’s subsidies for its clean energy industries.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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2 Apr, 2024
美国财政部长耶伦4月初将访问中国。出发前,耶伦先发制人,在美国乔治亚州发表演讲时指责中国对电动车、锂电池和光伏产品进行大量补贴,形成了过剩产能,扭曲了国际市场价格,最终伤害了美国企业与美国工人的利益,还损害了世界经济的韧性。 什么叫过剩产能?中国的过剩产能为何在此刻成为中美贸易摩擦的最新来源? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑解析耶伦对中国提出过剩产能这个问题,目的是什么? 延伸阅读: 韩咏红:耶伦向中国过剩产能发难 杨丹旭:中国经济寒冬难熬? US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is planning to visit China this month. Last Wednesday, during a visit to a solar cell manufacturing plant in the state of Georgia, Yellen said that she intends to warn China about the negative effects of Beijing’s subsidies for its clean energy industries, including electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries and solar panels.   "I will convey my belief that excess capacity poses risks not only to American workers and firms and to the global economy, but also productivity and growth in the Chinese economy,” she said.   What does Yellen mean by “excess capacity” and why is the US raising this issue now?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, joins host Han Yong Hong to discuss Yellen’s trip to China and her recent remarks concerning China’s subsidies for its clean energy industries.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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26 Mar, 2024
俄罗斯首都莫斯科近郊的 “番红花城市大厅” 音乐厅 (Crocus City Hall) 星期五发生恐怖袭击。这是俄罗斯20年来最严重的恐怖袭击,至今已造成137人死亡,100多人受伤。 事发后,乌克兰迅速否认与恐袭有任何牵连,极端组织伊斯兰国(ISIS)则宣布是自己发动了这次袭击。美国也声称这起恐袭是由极端组织伊斯兰国的阿富汗分支 (ISIS-K) 干案。而俄罗斯官员却是把矛头指向乌克兰,指恐怖分子和乌克兰有联系。中国网民则质疑,这起事件是美国在幕后指使。 俄罗斯音乐厅恐袭事件引发了一系列阴谋论,谁是莫斯科音乐厅恐袭事件的幕后黑手?这起事件背后还有哪些谜团待解?它又会对俄罗斯与乌克兰的战争带来什么影响?这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远分析。 延伸阅读: 于泽远:莫斯科遭恐袭搅动中国舆论 【早知】ISIS-K为何袭击俄罗斯? The attack on a Moscow concert hall last Friday was the deadliest in Russia for two decades, resulting in 137 fatalities and over 100 injuries as of Sunday afternoon.  In the aftermath of the tragedy, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) group claimed responsibility for the attack while Ukraine promptly denied involvement. The United States confirmed ISIS’ claim, attributing the attack to the Afghan branch known as the ISIS-Khorasan (ISIS-K). However, Russia asserts a link between the terrorists and Ukraine. Meanwhile, Chinese netizens have questioned the United States’ involvement.  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan analyse who was behind the attack and the motive behind it as well as the implications for the Russia-Ukraine war.   Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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19 Mar, 2024
美国众议院上个星期以352票对65票的压倒性多数,通过了一项法案,要求中国科技企业字节跳动在180天内出售旗下的社交媒体TikTok,否则TikTok就会在美国遭到封禁。 支持这项法案的美国议员认为,TikTok掌握大量美国人的资讯,而这些资讯最终都会被中国共产党利用。也有人指责TikTok利用美国的少年儿童用户作为政治筹码。 如今TikTok的命运已经从众议院转到参议院,而总统拜登也表示,如果参议院也通过这项法案,他就会签署使这项法案成为法律。 美国政客要强制中国企业卖出TikTok,他们的要求合理吗?TikTok下一步的命运会是什么?即将到来的美国总统大选会对TikTok的结局带来什么影响? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑解析TikTok在美国的下场会如何?  延伸阅读: 韩咏红:看中美恶斗再升级 下午察:善变的特朗普救得了TikTok? Last week, the US House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed a bill that would mandate ByteDance, TikTok’s Chinese owner, to sell the popular short video app within 180 days or face a potential ban in the US. The bill, which passed with a vote of 352-65, is now headed to the Senate. The US lawmakers have expressed their concerns about ByteDance’s ties to the Chinese government, which could reportedly demand access to the personal data of TikTok’s millions of US users. Leading up to the vote, the representatives’ offices experienced a surge in calls from TikTok users opposing the legislation, with several dozens rallying outside the Capitol to show their support for the app. There are allegations that TikTok is exploiting its young American user base for political ends.    Are the demands of US politicians reasonable? What happens next for TikTok?   President Joe Biden has said that he would sign the bill if Congress passes it. How will the outcome of the TikTok bill be influenced by the upcoming US presidential election? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, talks about TikTok’s fate in the US. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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12 Mar, 2024
安静保守的马来村庄突然出现一家时尚女性内衣店,会发生什么事?由新加坡和马来西亚电影人合拍的电影《辣露娜》(La Luna)就是用喜剧的方式,展示了现代女性意识与宗教保守思想之间的微妙冲突。 电影今年2月9日在Netflix平台上线后大受欢迎,却在马来西亚回教社会掀起千层浪。 《辣露娜》反映了马来回教社群怎样的焦虑?面对全球化与西化的趋势,传统的马来社群有什么不安和反弹?个人自由与传统的冲突又应该怎么处理、怎么去平衡? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和马来西亚独立评论员及《联合早报》特约撰稿人林宏祥解析为何《辣露娜》会在马来西亚回教社会掀起千层浪。 延伸阅读: 对新马影视业感兴趣 古天乐投资现成马来语喜剧片 La Luna has faced criticism in Malaysia for allegedly insulting Islam and promoting soft pornography after it was released on the streaming platform Netflix in February. Although the film premiered in local cinemas last November, the controversies surrounding the Singapore-Malaysia co-production only emerged when it gained popularity globally and topped the charts on Netflix. Directed by Singaporean director M Raihan Halim, the Malay-language comedy tells the story of a city girl opening a lingeries store in a conservative village, portraying clashes between feminism and conservatism through humour.  How does La Luna reflect the anxieties within the Muslim community in Malaysia? In the era of globalisation, what insecurities and resistance do traditional Malay communities experience? How should the conflicts between personal freedom and tradition be navigated and balanced? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Malaysia’s independent political commentator Lim Hong Siang share their thoughts on how La Luna has highlighted the conflict between modernisation and religion. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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6 Mar, 2024
中国总理李强3月5日在一年一度的两会上公布中国今年的经济增长预期目标是5%左右。这个具有雄心的目标,显示中国有信心继续保持中高速的经济增长。中国也要发展新质生产力、培育新兴产业和未来产业,包括新能源汽车、新材料、生物制造、商业航天、量子技术、生命科学等。 然而两会开幕前,全国人大宣布今年的两会不再举行总理记者会,打破了一个三十多年的惯例。消息一出,除了引起各方震惊,也削弱了各方对政府工作报告的关注。 中国为什么不再举行总理记者会?这个决定引起了什么批评?市场如何看待政府工作报告里提出的经济政策?5%左右的经济增长目标可能达标吗? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红、华侨银行大中华区研究主管谢栋铭及《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远解析中国两会。 延伸阅读: 于泽远:中国为何不再举行总理记者会? 杨丹旭:熟悉的两会不同了 Chinese Premier Li Qiang unveiled China's economic growth target of around 5% for 2024 during the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), collectively known as the “two sessions” or “liang hui” in Chinese. This ambitious growth target reflects China's confidence in sustaining a moderately high-speed economic growth. The country aims to develop ‘new quality productive forces’ and emerging industries, spanning new energy vehicles, new materials, bio-manufacturing, commercial space exploration, quantum technology, and life sciences. However, ahead of the “two sessions”, the NPC announced that it would scrap the premier's annual press conference, ending a tradition maintained for three decades. This unexpected announcement surprised many and diverted attention from the government work report. Why did China decide to discontinue the premier's post-parliament press conference? What criticisms surround this decision? How does the market perceive the economic policies outlined in the Chinese government work report, and can the economic growth target be achieved?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Tommy Xie, Head of Greater China Research & Strategy at OCBC Bank and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan to share their insights on China’s ‘two sessions’ this year. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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27 Feb, 2024
2月14日福建厦门与金门之间发生一起翻船事件,造成两个大陆渔民死亡。事发至今还无法了结。 台湾海巡署称,载有四人的大陆渔船当天违规越界进入台湾的禁限制水域,在被台湾巡逻艇拦截时,不慎翻覆才导致两个大陆渔民死亡。但是随着更多具体情节流出,外界才知道,台湾巡逻艇的船头原来曾经撞到大陆渔船的船尾。台湾海巡署又声称当时来不及录像,所以没有录像证据。 这起事件的众多疑窦让大陆网民群起激愤。大陆海警船、渔政船也开始在厦门与金门之间的水域进行常态化巡逻,两岸的紧张局势升高。这起意外,要如何善了? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红、《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远及台北特派员温伟中解析金门翻船事件。 延伸阅读: 金门渔民:野生黄鱼应节价飙 大陆渔民经常越界捕捞 韩咏红:金门翻船让大陆反切香肠推“行政统一” Tensions continue to escalate between China and Taiwan after a Chinese boat capsized near Kinmen on February 14, resulting in the death of two crew members. Kinmen is an island administered by Taipei but located just 5km from the mainland city of Xiamen.  The vessel, carrying four Chinese nationals, was pursued by the Taiwanese coast guard for intruding into prohibited waters. The two surviving Chinese fishermen were detained and deported back to mainland China a week after the incident. As more details emerged, public indignation grew. The fishermen claimed that their boat capsized because the Taiwanese coast guard’s patrol boat had collided with it. Taiwan’s Coast Guard Administration (CGA) subsequently admitted to collisions and stated it was unable to record video evidence of the incident.  Following the fatal incident, Beijing stepped up patrols around Taiwan’s waters. China claims Taiwan as part of its territory, and has never renounced the use of force to try to bring the self-ruled island under its control. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan and Taipei correspondent Woon Wei Jong to dissect how the Kinmen boat incident may affect cross-strait relations. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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20 Feb, 2024
今年2月4日,世界球王梅西所属的迈阿密国际足球俱乐部到香港参加表演赛,门票一早被抢购一空,还有中国内地球迷专程飞到香港看梅西。结果梅西完全没下场。比赛结束时,不满的观众大声喝倒彩,要求退票。这件事在香港引起轩然大波。梅西被质疑故意让香港难堪。 一波未平一波又起,一个多星期后,著名经济学家、摩根士丹利前亚洲区主席罗奇又在报章上撰文称:香港玩完了。罗奇的的证据是:1997年7月1日香港回归当天,香港恒生指数收盘1万6000点。如今,恒指也差不多是这个水平,等于回到原点。 过去几年,香港已经很少有让人乐观的新闻。香港玩完了,这是真的,还是国际舆论再次合力“唱衰”香港?这颗东方之珠要怎么重现昔日光彩? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和香港城市大学法学院教授、中国法与比较法研究中心主任王江雨从罗奇的撰文和梅西事件谈香港到底怎么了? 延伸阅读: 梅西:香港未登场与政治因素无关 李玉林:“梅西事件”照出了什么? Lionel Messi’ failure to play in the much-hyped friendly match sparked outrage in Hong Kong. The controversy intensified when the Argentinian football star took part in a match in Tokyo a few days later. The organiser of the ill-fated match in Hong Kong, said it would offer refunds of 50% in face of harsh criticisms from the Hong Kong government and football fans. Chinese state media and Hong Kong legislators have suggested that the debacle was a politically motivated snub. About a week later, Stephen Roach, a renowned economist and former chair of Morgan Stanley Asia wrote in a Financial Times commentary: “It pains me to admit it, but Hong Kong is now over.” He mentioned that the Hang Seng Index has been basically flat since the handover to China in 1997, and pointed out that the former British colony had the world’s worst-performing major stock market in the last 25 years. The Hang Seng index last month dropped below the 15,000-point mark, a return to levels not seen since 1997.     .  Confronted by dwindling optimism and international scepticism, what can Hong Kong do to regain its former glory? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Professor Wang Jiang Yu from the City University of Hong Kong School of Law to weigh in on these issues and explore the implications for Hong Kong's future. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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