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早报播客——东谈西论

纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际政治动态。
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19 Sep, 2023
中国防长去哪儿？The mystery of China’s missing defence minister
中国国防部长李尚福已经有三个星期没有公开露面。据英国媒体报道，李尚福没有出席 9月7日至8日在中越边境主办的防务合作年度会议。美国政府也认为李尚福正在接受调查，而且已经被解除职权。 这是今年6月以来，继中国前外交部长秦刚之后，第二个在公众视线中突然消失的中国高层官员，而且至今中国官方对他们的突然消失都没有说明原因。 李尚福去哪儿了？他真的出事了吗？如果他出事，对中国军队的战斗力又会造成什么影响? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》北京记者于泽远详细解析。 延伸阅读： 中国防长李尚福逾两周未露面 据报因健康原因推迟与越官员会晤 韩咏红：秦刚被免职留下未解疑团 China’s Defence Minister Li Shangfu has not been seen for three weeks. While it is not unusual for the defence minister to be away from the public eye, his notable absence, especially after the recent disappearance of former Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang, sparked speculation that Li is under house arrest. According to media reports, the US government believes that Li has been placed under investigation and removed from office. The probe into Li follows China's unexplained replacement of Qin in July after a prolonged absence from public view.   Chinese officials have remained tight-lipped about the reasons behind Li’s disappearance. Where is Li Shangfu? Why is he missing? What is the impact on China’s military? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Beijing journalist Yu Zeyuan shares his insights with host Han Yong Hong.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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12 Sep, 2023
华为5G手机登场会如何影响中美科技战? China-US tech war: Huawei’s chip breakthrough
彭博社上星期委托著名的半导体调查公司 TechInsights 拆解了一台中国华为新上市的 Mate 60 Pro手机，证实里头使用了中国国产的七纳米芯片。这个消息震撼美国，因为这表明在美国的严厉制裁与限制之下，中国只用了三年时间就能自己生产出七纳米高端芯片，突破了美国的科技封锁。 一个星期后，华为又宣布预售另两款新手机，经过测试都有5G的功能，证明中国已经能大量生产高端的芯片。 中国是否真的已经冲破了被美国科技卡脖子的困境？这对中国的贸易军事发展以及国际关系意味着什么？中美科技战的下一步又会如何发展？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红与华中科技大学教授、光谷自贸区研究院院长陈波及新加坡南洋理工大学教授、毕盛资产管理有限公司创始成员兼副主席（中国）陈光炎博士详细解析。 延伸阅读： 韩咏红：华为逆袭成功对雷蒙多示威 下午察：华为手机的绝地反击？ Chinese mobile phone company Huawei unveiled its latest Mate 60 Pro. According to a teardown report by analysis firm TechInsights, Huawei Technologies and China's top chipmaker Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) have built an advanced 7-nanometre processor to power its latest smartphone. The 7nm chip represents a breakthrough in China’s chipmaking capability. It was previously believed that the best China could achieve was about 14nm. Has China managed to circumvent US restrictions? What are the implications of Huawei’s new chip on China-US relations? Where is China-US tech war heading？ Lianhe Zaobao’s Global Heartbeat podcast invites Professor Chen Bo from Huazhong University of Science and Technology in China, and Dr Tan Kong Yam, Professor of Economics from Nanyang Technological University in Singapore to share their insights. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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05 Sep, 2023
习近平不出席G20峰会 中印互给脸色 Xi Jinping skipping G20 summit in India
第18次G20峰会将于本周末（9至10日）在印度新德里举行。印度为这场峰会的主题订立为“天下是一家”，印度总理莫迪也对这次会议寄以厚望。然而，中国国家主席习近平将不会出席这次的峰会，中国国务院总理李强将出席。 习近平缺席 G20峰会，将对外传达出什么信号？中国与印度的关系又处在什么状态？G20峰会的主题叫“天下是一家”，但现在的国际形势实际上又是什么？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红和中国著名的国际战略专家、中国人民大学教授时殷弘详细解析。 延伸阅读： 中印关系紧张或致G20无法发布联合公报 习近平缺席G20峰会 习拜会告吹 Chinese President Xi Jinping will not attend the summit of Group of 20 (G20) leaders in New Delhi this weekend. Instead, Premier Li Qiang will lead China’s delegation to the event, as confirmed by Beijing on Monday (Sep 4).  This marks the first time that Xi is skipping the gathering of the world’s top economies since coming to power. He has attended every G20 summit, except Rome in 2021, when he participated by video link. The announcement has dashed hopes of a possible meeting between Xi and US President Joe Biden at the summit. Both leaders last met in person in November 2022 on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Indonesia. What does Xi’s absence from the G20 summit signify? What does it say about global politics and the relations between China and host country India? Lianhe Zaobao’s Global Heartbeat podcast invites Professor of International Relations from Renmin University of China in Beijing, Dr. Shi Yinhong, to share his insights.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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22 Aug, 2023
中国房地产陷入长痛僵局 China's property crisis deepens
中国房地产巨头碧桂园，在本月初未能按时支付 2250万美元的债息，震惊四座，陷入违约边缘。此外，恒大集团也在美国申请破产保护，负债率是 2.4万亿人民币。 中国大型房地产企业接二连三陷入债务危机，这到底是怎么回事？ 谁会成为下个倒下的房地产公司？ 中国的房地产是否在酝酿一场中国版的 “雷曼兄弟” 危机？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红和新加坡经济学者、原新加坡国立大学李光耀公共政策学院教授陈抗详细解析。 延伸阅读： 韩咏红：中国房地产业的“碧桂园时刻” 下午察：碧桂园若倒下，会有哪些连锁反应？ China’s property giant Country Garden missed two United States dollar bond coupons due in early August, totalling US$22.5 million (S$30.5 million). Another major real estate developer, China Evergrande, filed for bankruptcy protection in the United States to protect it from creditors as it restructures its debt. The company defaulted on US$300 billion (S$407 billion) of debt in 2021.  China’s property developers are plunging into debt crises one after another. What is happening in China’s property sector? Is China on the brink of a “Lehman moment”?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, economist Chen Kang shares his insights with host Han Yong Hong. He was formerly the Professor of Economics at Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore.   Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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15 Aug, 2023
马国州选落幕，安华顺利过关？Malaysia state polls: relief or rejection?
马来西亚六州选举在上个星期六落幕。选举结果如分析人士所料 - 朝野政治联盟各主导三个州属。由安华领导的希望联盟和国民阵线保住了槟城、雪兰莪和森美兰州政权。在野的国民联盟在吉打、吉兰丹和登嘉楼几乎横扫所有州议席。 州议选举原本只是地方性的选举，但是舆论的氛围和在野党的操作使到这次的州选成了对安华政府的一次公投。如果执政联盟表现得太糟糕，马来西亚有可能再经历一次变天。 如今选举结果已大局底定，安华过关了吗？国盟的势力进一步增强，势力版图扩张，是否代表马来西亚种族分化更为严重？六州选举的结果对马来西亚下来的发展又会产生什么影响？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红及《联合早报》国际新闻组副主任范晓琪详细解析。 延伸阅读： 分析：州选后马国政治料进入稳定期 安华须把握机会展现治国能力 分析：团结政府未有效解决经济问题 或影响六州选情 纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。 Malaysia’s state polls have ended in a “3-3” status quo outcome between Pakatan Harapan-Barisan Nasional (PH-BN) ruling coalition and the opposition alliance, Perikatan Nasional (PN). The election in 6 of Malaysia’s 13 states was widely viewed as a referendum on Anwar’s administration after the tightly contested general election in November that ended with the country’s first ever hung Parliament. Led by Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, the PH-BN coalition retained Selangor, Negeri Sembilan and Penang while PN held on to Kelantan, Kedah and Terengganu. The election appears to have kept things at status quo, but changes in seat composition for the state assemblies tells a different story.  Has Anwar passed the test? How will the outcome of the state elections affect Malaysia's future development? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Foreign Editor, Liew Fan Chyi, shares her observations with host Han Yong Hong.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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08 Aug, 2023
一次中国村超的亲体验 China’s village football league
你应该知道什么是英格兰超级足球联赛。但是你可曾听过“村超”吗？ 村超是中国农村的足球联赛，全名是中国贵州省榕江和美乡村足球联赛。村超一共有20支乡村足球队参加，球员全是业余的。比赛中场会表演贵州少数民族歌舞，奖品也非常接地气，有活鸡、鸭、鹅、猪、牛、羊等。 今年5月开始的村超引发大量关注，连退役的英格兰著名球星麦克欧文也拍视频为村超打气 。 村超真的有这么热吗？这种乡村业余足球的魅力在哪里？榕江村超的成功又能给我们什么启示。 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》重庆特派员王纬温精彩分享。 延伸阅读： 王纬温：贵州村超的由下而上 【视频】贵州村超热度不减 民众：能倒逼中国足坛改革 “Village Super League” or Cun Chao in Chinese is a rural football league in China’s Rongjiang, consisting of 20 amateur village football teams. During halftime, there are performances of traditional Guizhou ethnic songs and dances, and the grand prizes include chickens, ducks, geese, pigs, cows, sheep and other livestock. Cun Chao gained worldwide attention and even attracted the support of retired English football star Michael Owen who made a video cheering for the players. What is the appeal of this amateur rural football league?   In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Chongqing correspondent Edwin Ong shares his first-hand experience of Cun Chao with host Han Yong Hong.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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01 Aug, 2023
在“去美元化”的趋势下，中国有意挑战美元的地位吗？US dollar’s dominance under threat?
今年5月29日，巴西总统卢拉在与委内瑞拉总统举行的联合记者会上再次提到“去美元化”。卢拉说他梦想能拥有一种非美元的区域性货币，这样巴西和委内瑞拉就可以不依赖美元来进行贸易。 这已经不是卢拉第一次公开谈到“去美元化”。他曾经发表文章质疑，为什么所有国家都要用美元来进行贸易结算。卢拉也主张金砖国家应该建立一个统一的货币体系。今年四月，卢拉访问中国时就提出了类似的观点。 什么是“去美元化”？国际上常常说的美元霸权地位是什么意思？“去美元化”对国际货币与金融秩序又会带来什么影响？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑详细解析。 延伸阅读： 去美元化 知易行难 陈留俊：美国的“去美元化” 纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。 The US dollar’s status as the global reserve currency for international trade has been called into question again. On May 29th, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva repeated the de-dollarisation call during a press conference and expressed his dream of having a regional currency that is not tied to the US dollar. This is not the first time Lula has openly talked about de-dollarisation. He previously wrote articles questioning the need for all countries to base their trade on the US dollar, and supported the creation of an alternative currency for trading between BRICS countries. During his visit to China in April, he reiterated the call to shed dollar dependence.  What is "de-dollarisation"? What is the impact of “de-dollarisation” on the international monetary system and global financial order?   In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, shares his insights with host Han Yong Hong.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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25 Jul, 2023
中国外长秦刚失踪 Where is China’s Foreign Minister Qin Gang?
中国国务委员兼外交部长秦刚从公开场合失踪已经足足一个月。 较早前中国外交部曾宣布秦刚因“健康原因”将缺席在印度尼西亚举行的亚细安外长会议。 在上星期一的记者会上，当被问及秦刚的下落时，中国外交部发言人毛宁只表示不了解情况，没有其他更多的信息。不再提“健康原因”是否透露出事情不妙？与此同时，有关秦刚与女主播的绯闻在网上也传得沸沸扬扬。 秦刚到底发生了什么事？他的失踪对中国的外交与政治会产生什么影响？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》北京记者于泽远详细解析。 (本集《东谈西论》录音后，中国全国人大常委会会议决定，免去秦刚的外交部长职务，由中共中央政治局委员、中央外办主任王毅接任外长。) 延伸阅读： 新闻人间：消失的“他” 杨丹旭：王毅为何那么忙? 秦刚被免外长间接证实不利传闻　分析：王毅接任可能是过渡安排 纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。 China’s Foreign Minister Qin Gang has been absent from public view for a month. He was last seen on June 25 when he met officials from Sri Lanka, Vietnam and Russia. His disappearance was first noticed when he missed the Asean annual foreign ministers’ meeting in Indonesia earlier this month. China’s Foreign Ministry cited “health reasons” for Mr Qin missing the Asean summit, and said it had no further information on his whereabouts.  There is intense speculation about the fate of China’s main envoy, including a rumour of his extramarital affair with a TV presenter.  What has happened to Qin Gang? How will his disappearance affect China’s domestic politics and international relations?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Beijing journalist Yu Zeyuan shares his insights with host Han Yong Hong.  (After the recording of this episode, China's top legislature voted to remove Qin Gang as foreign minister at an urgent meeting and reappointed his predecessor Wang Yi to the position.) Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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18 Jul, 2023
年轻叛逆的泰国改革者披塔有没有首相命？Pita’s bid to be Thailand’s next PM
泰国国会上星期四举行选举，750名上下议院议员投选新一任首相。深受年轻人支持的前进党党魁，也是唯一的首相候选人披塔以63票之差，无法出任首相。泰国国会本星期还会进行第二次和第三次首相选举，这个改革派领袖有没有首相命？泰国的改革力量将何去何从？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》国际新闻组主任吴汉钧详细解析。 延伸阅读： 社论：泰国政治国体之争 披塔距离首相之位越来越远 纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。 Last Thursday, Pita Limjaroenrat, the leader of the Move Forward party that emerged as the biggest winner in Thailand’s general election in May, failed in his first bid to be the nation’s next prime minister. Under his leadership, the Move Forward party has become the largest party in the House of Representatives. His alliance of eight parties controls 312 seats in the 500-member House of Representatives. However, he needs the support of the Upper House Senate to reach the minimum 375 combined Parliament votes to secure premiership.  Pita will attempt a second time to become Thailand’s prime minister this week. Will the reformist leader succeed? What is the future of Thailand's reform movement? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Lianhe Zaobao’s Second Foreign Editor (Southeast Asia) Ng Hon Kuan shares his perspectives.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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11 Jul, 2023
“野性”渐失 中国经济欲振乏力？China’s slowing economy
今年6月底的夏季达沃斯论坛开幕式上，中国总理李强在致辞时，为中国经济回升向好做信心背书。不过客观的数字却让市场乐观不起来。6月份制造业连续三个月萎缩，非制造业疲软，5月份的年轻人失业率也再破20%创新高。 由于信心和预期不足，消费者有钱也不太敢花，导致中国经济更是欲振乏力。中国经济是否应该让人担忧？低迷的情况还要熬多久？政府是否应该推出大规模的经济刺激配套？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和华侨银行大中华区研究主管谢栋铭详细解析。 延伸阅读： 韩咏红：中国该不该出台大规模刺激经济政策 聃丘泰、温建东：中国经济刺激政策新特点 纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。 China's Premier Li Qiang painted a positive outlook for the domestic economy at the opening address of “Summer Davos” in June this year.  However, market optimism is low, given the underwhelming data released. China’s factory activity shrank for a third month while the non-manufacturing sector was at its weakest since COVID reopening. Unemployment rate among young people has also surpassed 20%. Consumers lack confidence and are reluctant to spend, which further weakens the Chinese economy. Is China’s slowing economy a cause for concern? How long will this sluggish situation last? Should the government implement large-scale economic stimulus packages? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Tommy Xie, Head of Greater China Research & Strategy at OCBC Bank, to share his insights.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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