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东谈西论

纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际政治动态。
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20 Aug, 2024
柯文哲面对政治生死劫 Scandal rocks Taiwan’s “white force”
台湾民众党主席、前台北市长柯文哲近期陷入从政以来最大的危机。 此前，柯文哲因台北市长任内涉及的京华城案和北士科案被列为被告。如今，他在去年竞选总统时的竞选总部又爆出一系列假账丑闻，其中包括漏报 2,000万新台币的政治献金以及96万元新台币的素食便当费用。 柯文哲的竞选总部大楼内有一家名为“木可”的公关公司，董事长是柯文哲竞选总部财务长、他的高中同学李文宗的妹妹。这引发外界质疑，木可公司是否充当了一个秘密的小金库。 政治分析人士认为，柯文哲不仅面临牢狱之灾，甚至民众党也有可能因此走向灭亡。柯文哲为何会陷入如此困境？他真的会被判刑吗？白色力量的危机又将如何影响台湾整体的政治版图？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和台湾政治的文化大学广告系教授钮则勋深入解析柯文哲的政治危机。 延伸阅读： 民众党称政治献金假账是因会计师漏报 新闻人间：四面楚歌柯文哲 Ko Wen-je, chairman of the Taiwan People's Party (TPP), is facing the biggest political crisis of his career, grappling with serious allegations of corruption and financial impropriety. These accusations stem from his time as Mayor of Taipei and his recent unsuccessful presidential bid, casting a shadow over his political future and potentially impacting Taiwan’s "white force" (also known as “third force”) movement - a political force seeking an alternative to the entrenched dominance of the two main parties.   In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Niu Tse-hsun, professor and chair of the Chinese Culture University's advertising department to dissect this unfolding scandal as well as what it means for Ko and the future of the “white force”. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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13 Aug, 2024
巴黎奥运折射中美角力 China-US rivalry at Paris Olympics 2024
经历了一番纷纷扰扰，2024年巴黎奥运在当地时间星期天落下帷幕。 全球运动员齐聚法国，一同经历了16天的拼搏、激情、欢笑与泪水。最终，金牌榜上出现了一个史无前例的成绩——中国和美国各自摘下40枚金牌，并列金牌榜第一名。 提出修昔底德陷阱的美国哈佛大学教授艾莉森上星期撰文指出，奥运会反映了中国作为美国最重要的地缘政治对手的几乎全方位的崛起。 巴黎奥运是当前全球地缘政治的折射吗？中美在巴黎奥运期间争议不休的禁药问题到底谁是谁非？这些争议会不会延续到2028年的洛杉矶奥运会？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》驻北京的记者于泽远详细解析。 延伸阅读： 【奥运会】中美金牌数持平 中国多点开花美国游泳优势削弱 杨丹旭：政治阴云笼罩巴黎奥运 The 2024 Paris Olympics concluded amid a whirlwind of excitement and controversy. Athletes worldwide gathered in France for 16 days of intense competition.  In an unprecedented outcome, both China and the United States tied for the most gold medals, each winning 40. However, the United States led the overall medal count with 126, far ahead of China’s 91. Harvard University’s Professor Graham Allison, who is the author of “Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap”, noted that China's rise to become the leading rival of the United States in the Olympics mirrors its broader geopolitical ascent.  In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan explore the implications of the Paris Olympics on global geopolitics, the doping disputes, and what to expect as the world turns its attention to the next Olympic Games in Los Angeles. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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6 Aug, 2024
中共政治局治得了产业“内卷”吗？Unwinding China's rat race
中国今年第二季度的经济增长只有4.7%，不但低于预期，也是五个季度以来的最低水平。 为了稳住经济，中共政治局7月30日召开会议，部署下半年经济工作要求、提振内需、培育壮大新兴产业和未来产业。会议上还出现了一个罕见要求，就是“强化行业自律，防止‘内卷式’恶性竞争”。 中国的企业现在有多“卷”？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和辽宁大学特聘研究员陈波深入解析什么是“内卷式”恶性竞争？政治局一纸命令真的能有效防止“内卷”？ 延伸阅读： 陈婧：政治局会议也谈“防内卷” 中国出台20条促消费 分析：电商、游戏、教培重获重视 China’s economic growth slowed to a mere 4.7% in the second quarter of 2024, falling short of projections and marking the weakest performance in five consecutive quarters. To stabilise the economy,  the Chinese Communist Party’s Politburo convened on July 30 to formulate economic strategies for the second half of the year. The meeting underscored the importance of stimulating domestic demand and nurturing the expansion of emerging and future industries. Interestingly, the meeting  also issued an uncommon directive, urging for greater industry self-discipline to curb what is termed as “involution-style” vicious competition.    "Involution," in this context, describes a pattern of excessive, often unproductive competition that traps businesses in a cycle of diminishing returns. This can manifest as a culture of extreme work with minimal gains in productivity and innovation. How prevalent is this issue among Chinese enterprises, and can a top-down directive from the Politburo effectively mitigate this behaviour?   In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong is joined by Chen Bo, a prominent researcher and Adjunct Professor of Economics at Liaoning University to analyse the effectiveness of the Politburo’s directive.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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30 Jul, 2024
中俄轰炸机抵近阿拉斯加秀肌肉 China, Russia conduct first joint bomber patrol near Alaska
中国与俄罗斯的四架战略轰炸机，7月25日在美国阿拉斯加附近的白令海进行联合空中战略巡航。这是中国轰炸机首次飞抵阿拉斯加附近。美国和加拿大紧急出动战斗机，对中俄轰炸机进行跟踪、监视和拦截。 美国国防部长奥斯汀隔天在五角大楼的新闻发布会上说，中俄战机并没有进入美国领空，最靠近时距离美国海岸大约200英里。他也说这四架轰炸机并没有对美国和加拿大构成威胁。 北京和莫斯科从2019年开始组织战略轰炸机联合巡逻，这次是第八次，也是第一次抵近阿拉斯加。在美国总统拜登宣布退选后，美国提前进入看守政府状态，中国是否利用这个时机采取激进的战略行动？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和联合早报驻北京的记者于泽远解析中俄战略轰炸机联合巡逻是要发出什么信号？ 延伸阅读： 于泽远：中国轰炸机抵近阿拉斯加 王毅与俄外长会面 称中俄要坚定相互支持 Last Wednesday, four Chinese and Russian bombers conducted a joint strategic air patrol over the Bering Sea, near Alaska. While Russian bombers frequently operate in this region, it was the first time Chinese bombers entered the Alaskan Air Defense Identification Zone. The bombers were promptly tracked and intercepted by US and Canadian fighter jets. The following day at a Pentagon press conference, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin confirmed that the aircraft did not enter US airspace, maintaining a distance of about 200 miles (320 kilometres) from the US coast. He emphasised that these flights were not perceived as a threat. Since 2019, Beijing and Moscow have been conducting joint strategic air patrols, and this was their eighth such mission. The significance of these joint drills raises several questions: What message are China and Russia attempting to convey?  With US President Biden's recent announcement that he will not seek re-election, is China capitalising on the perceived vulnerability of the US administration and seizing this opportunity to engage in more aggressive strategic manoeuvres? Tune in to this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast as host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan delve into the implications of this incident and explore the broader geopolitical context. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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23 Jul, 2024
阮富仲留下的政治遗产 Vietnamese leader Nguyen Phu Trong’s political legacy
越南共产党总书记阮富仲7月19日下午在河内因病去世，享年八十岁。阮富仲三次当选越共总书记，在位13年，是在位时间第三长的越共最高领导人。2018年至2021年的三年间，他同时兼任越南国家主席。 在阮富仲的领导下，越南的人均GDP增长超过一倍。2013年他发起大规模熔炉反腐败运动，成千上万的政府官员、高层干部、企业高管被起诉、判刑或被迫辞职。在对外关系上，阮富仲领导越南与不同意识形态的国家发展或升级了伙伴关系。 阮富仲被称为真正的马克思列宁主义者。在他去世后，越共还有理论家吗？这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和新加坡尤索夫伊萨东南亚研究院访问研究员阮清江评价阮富仲对越南的贡献及探讨他的逝世会对越南政局带来什么变化。 延伸阅读： 阮富仲去世留权力真空 分析指国家主席苏林最可能接班 越南政治“四大支柱”之首——阮富仲生平 General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Nguyen Phu Trong passed away last Friday (July 19) at the age of 80, after holding the country's most powerful position for 13 years.  In 2021, Trong was reelected as party chief for an unprecedented third term, cementing his status as one of the most powerful leaders in Vietnam’s history.  Under his leadership, Vietnam experienced significant economic growth, with its GDP per capita more than doubling. His "bamboo diplomacy" skillfully balanced Vietnam's relationships with global superpowers while promoting a foreign policy of independence and diversification. Trong joined the editorial team of the Communist Review magazine at the age of 23, eventually becoming its editor-in-chief. A Marxist-Leninist ideologue, he studied Russian and earned a doctorate in party building. His ascent in the party ranks was steady: joining the Central Committee in 1994, the Politburo in 1999, and assuming the role of General Secretary in 2011. From 2018 to 2021, he also concurrently held the position of Vietnam's President. Trong's passing raises critical questions about succession and the future of Vietnamese politics. In this episode of the Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong is joined by Nguyen Thanh Giang, a Visiting Senior Fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore. Together, they explore Nguyen Phu Trong's life and legacy and discuss the implications of his death for Vietnam's future. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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16 Jul, 2024
死里逃生 一枪“封神”特朗普 Trump’s narrow escape from death
美国前总统特朗普上星期六在宾夕法尼亚州进行竞选集会时，被飞来的子弹击中右耳上沿，惊险逃过鬼门关。当特朗普在特勤人员的护送下离开时，他坚持先停下来，举起拳头，对观众喊了三声“战斗”！这个经典的画面传遍世界。 特朗普为美国而战的硬汉形象震撼全美，从他脸颊滑过的一枪把他塑造成了英雄，还仿佛净化了他身上的诸多争议。还有宗教人士认为，这就是上帝的旨意，更证明特朗普就是天选之人。现任总统拜登的选情也因此更加岌岌可危。 不过，并非所有人都像特朗普般幸运。在星期六的集会上，一名他的支持者中弹身亡，两人重伤。 特朗普已经提前赢得美国大选了吗？这次的枪击事件揭露了美国社会的哪些问题，又会带来什么变化？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和台湾国科会科技、民主与社会研究中心研究员兼执行长刘奇峰解析特朗普政治暗杀未遂如何帮他净化争议。 延伸阅读： 分析：美国政治撕裂 特朗普因枪击事件获益 潘政麟：特朗普堪称乱世之枭雄 Former US President Donald Trump narrowly escaped an assassination attempt during a recent campaign rally. A stray bullet grazed his right ear, but Trump's response was quintessentially defiant. Amidst the chaos, he raised his fist and thrice shouted "Fight!" to the crowd, a moment that instantly went viral and cemented his image as an indomitable force in American politics. Some religious commentators have even interpreted the event as a sign of divine intervention. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong, delves into the far-reaching implications of this incident with Roger Chifeng Liu, CEO and senior researcher at the Research Institute for Democracy, Society and Emerging Technology. They dissect how this near-fatal event could reshape Trump's controversial legacy and the broader political landscape as the nation heads towards a crucial election. They also explore the challenges it poses to President Biden's re-election campaign as well as the deeper societal issues this event has brought to the forefront. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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9 Jul, 2024
郑文灿涉贪案是民进党内斗的开始？Taiwan’s former vice-premier under corruption probe
台湾前行政院副院长、前总统蔡英文的昔日爱将郑文灿因七年前的一宗土地案涉及贪污，在7月6日被检调侦讯与声押禁见。 郑文灿被准许以500万新台币交保，但被限制住居、限制出境与出海，保释金在星期一再提高到1200万新台币。台湾总统赖清德第一时间作出强硬表态：“不分党派，不问何人，只要涉及非法，检调都应该查办，勿枉勿纵。打诈、扫黑、肃贪，是目前政府重要的工作，目的是要维护国家的生存发展、社会的安定，以及回应人民深刻的期待，不得不然。” 郑文灿则维护自身清白，强调自己从政以来，公而忘私，不贪不取。 郑文灿被调查，是赖清德上台后惩治官场贪腐的第一刀还是对前总统蔡英文派系开出的第一枪？这是肃贪，还是民进党内斗的开始？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和台湾政治观察家、东华大学教授施正锋详细解析。 延伸阅读： 台海基会董座郑文灿涉贪交保 赖清德强调勿枉勿纵 Former vice-premier Cheng Wen-tsan's alleged involvement in a bribery scandal has sent ripples through Taiwan's political landscape. The 57-year-old Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) politician was questioned by prosecutors on suspicion of bribery related to a land use project during his tenure as Taoyuan mayor from 2014 to 2022. The Taoyuan District Prosecutors Office, citing concerns over potential collusion, sought court approval to detain Cheng and restrict his communications. Despite his eventual release on bail, Cheng faces travel restrictions and denies any wrongdoing. The case has sparked debate about political accountability and corruption in Taiwan.   In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong and Dong Hwa University‘s Professor Shih Cheng-Feng dissect the implications of this high-profile case. They explore Cheng's political career and his significance within the DPP, while analysing the potential fallout for Taiwan's ruling party. A key focus of the discussion is President Lai Ching-te's response, calling for a thorough investigation regardless of party affiliations. The podcast examines whether this represents a genuine anti-corruption drive or signals internal DPP conflict, possibly targeting former President Tsai Ing-wen's faction. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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2 Jul, 2024
中国两任国防部长犯了什么事？China's Communist Party expels former defence ministers for corruption
中共政治局6月27日召开会议，决定开除前后两任国务委员兼国防部长魏凤和和李尚福的中共党籍。 根据官方通报，李尚福违规为本人和他人谋取人事利益；为谋取不正当利益送给他人钱款，涉嫌行贿罪。魏凤和则是违规为他人谋取人事利益。 简单地说，李尚福涉嫌到买官和卖官，而魏凤和可能涉及卖官。 他们也都涉嫌利用职务便利，为他人谋取利益并收受巨额钱款。 去年以来，解放军多名高级将领出事。中国军队为何越反越腐败？腐败问题，是否会影响解放军的战斗力？中共政治局没有同时公布前外长秦刚的下落，秦刚是平安落地了吗？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远分析梳理中国军队的腐败问题。 延伸阅读： 李尚福、魏凤和被开除中共党籍 料难逃牢狱之灾 韩咏红：李尚福落马凸显的反腐难题 As part of an anti-corruption crackdown, China’s Communist Party expelled former defence minister Li Shangfu and his predecessor Wei Fenghe for “serious violation of party discipline and the law” last Thursday, according to Chinese state media.  The accusations against Li and Wei include accepting gifts and money and facilitating improper benefits for others. Li was dismissed as defence minister last October, just seven months after taking the job. His predecessor, Wei, had not been seen in public since he was replaced last March. Wei served as defence minister from 2018 to 2023 and was also the head of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) Rocket Force from 2015 to 2017. These expulsions are part of a wider anti-corruption purge in the Chinese military, which has seen several generals and aerospace industry executives removed from the national legislative body. The fate of former foreign minister Qin Gang, who was removed after just seven months, remains unknown. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan discuss the implications of the expulsions and ongoing crackdown on the Chinese military and broader political landscape.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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25 Jun, 2024
大陆颁布意见台独可判死刑 是为武统做准备？ China threatens death penalty for Taiwan separatists
中国大陆司法与国安机关上个星期五联合发布惩治台独顽固分子的22条司法意见，将组织、策划、实施台独活动、推动法理台独、在国际上推动台独等都确定为分裂国家罪。依据情节的严重程度，可以被判处没收财产、有期徒刑、无期徒刑，最重可以判处死刑。如果被告人在境外，可以缺席审判，而且会被终身追责。 在海峡彼岸，台湾陆委会当天立即回应表示，北京当局的做法只会挑起两岸人民的对立，严重影响两岸人民往来交流，无助于两岸关系的良性发展，是极度不文明的粗暴挑衅。 大陆的22条司法意见早在今年5月26日就对内印发，直到上个星期五才发布实施。北京为何要在这时候推出22条惩治台独的司法意见？它能达到什么效果？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和台湾致理科技大学国际贸易系副教授张弘远以及《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远解析颁布22条司法意见，是否是北京武统的前奏？ 延伸阅读： 于泽远：中国大陆为何推出重典反“台独”？ 特稿：民共原规划在澳门恢复学者接触 恐因惩治台独意见破局 Last Friday, China issued judicial guidelines criminalising Taiwan separatist activities, with punishments running from property confiscation to death penalties.  Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council quickly condemned the move as a provocation that would harm cross-strait relations. The guidelines, internally circulated in May and only implemented last week, sparked speculation about Beijing's motives and potential impact.  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong explores whether these new guidelines could be a prelude to military action with Associate Professor Chang Hung Yuan from the Department of International Trade, Chihlee University of Technology and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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18 Jun, 2024
莫迪选举得票大跌，民主的胜利？Modi’s third term as prime minister of India
印度总理莫迪及他领导的政党联盟在今年的全国大选中获胜。莫迪在6月4日发表胜选感言时，先对祖国印度致敬，接着赞颂印度教的宇宙之神贾格纳。他也告诉支持者，这是自1962年以来，第一次有一个印度政府能连续三届执政。 莫迪也开启了本人的第三个总理任期，不过他的选举成绩并不理想。在印度议会的543个席位中，莫迪领导的印度人民党只拿下240个，远远少于他定下的370席目标。他也失去了单独组阁权，必需和其他的政党组成联合政府。 这次的挫折对莫迪实现政治目标以及印度接下来的发展会构成什么影响？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和台湾国科会科技、民主与社会研究中心研究员兼执行长刘奇峰解析莫迪为何会遭遇滑铁卢？ 延伸阅读： 社论：印度政局稳定但莫迪压力不小 国际特稿：莫迪料三连任 南亚巨人国际争雄 内忧外患挑战重重 In his triumphant speech after securing a third consecutive term, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hailed this election as a historic moment for India. However, his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured only 240 out of 543 parliamentary seats, well short of a majority, forcing him into a coalition government. This diminished mandate raises questions about the future of Modi's political agenda and India's development trajectory.  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong explores the reasons behind Modi's electoral setback and its potential impacts on his policy objectives with Roger Chifeng Liu, CEO and senior researcher at Research Institute for Democracy, Society and Emerging Technology. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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