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早报播客——东谈西论

纵观天下,监测中国心跳,由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》,每周探讨国际热点话题,分析国际政治动态。
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26 Mar, 2024
俄罗斯首都莫斯科近郊的 “番红花城市大厅” 音乐厅 (Crocus City Hall) 星期五发生恐怖袭击。这是俄罗斯20年来最严重的恐怖袭击,至今已造成137人死亡,100多人受伤。 事发后,乌克兰迅速否认与恐袭有任何牵连,极端组织伊斯兰国(ISIS)则宣布是自己发动了这次袭击。美国也声称这起恐袭是由极端组织伊斯兰国的阿富汗分支 (ISIS-K) 干案。而俄罗斯官员却是把矛头指向乌克兰,指恐怖分子和乌克兰有联系。中国网民则质疑,这起事件是美国在幕后指使。 俄罗斯音乐厅恐袭事件引发了一系列阴谋论,谁是莫斯科音乐厅恐袭事件的幕后黑手?这起事件背后还有哪些谜团待解?它又会对俄罗斯与乌克兰的战争带来什么影响?这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远分析。 延伸阅读: 于泽远:莫斯科遭恐袭搅动中国舆论 【早知】ISIS-K为何袭击俄罗斯? The attack on a Moscow concert hall last Friday was the deadliest in Russia for two decades, resulting in 137 fatalities and over 100 injuries as of Sunday afternoon.  In the aftermath of the tragedy, the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) group claimed responsibility for the attack while Ukraine promptly denied involvement. The United States confirmed ISIS’ claim, attributing the attack to the Afghan branch known as the ISIS-Khorasan (ISIS-K). However, Russia asserts a link between the terrorists and Ukraine. Meanwhile, Chinese netizens have questioned the United States’ involvement.  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan analyse who was behind the attack and the motive behind it as well as the implications for the Russia-Ukraine war.   Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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19 Mar, 2024
美国众议院上个星期以352票对65票的压倒性多数,通过了一项法案,要求中国科技企业字节跳动在180天内出售旗下的社交媒体TikTok,否则TikTok就会在美国遭到封禁。 支持这项法案的美国议员认为,TikTok掌握大量美国人的资讯,而这些资讯最终都会被中国共产党利用。也有人指责TikTok利用美国的少年儿童用户作为政治筹码。 如今TikTok的命运已经从众议院转到参议院,而总统拜登也表示,如果参议院也通过这项法案,他就会签署使这项法案成为法律。 美国政客要强制中国企业卖出TikTok,他们的要求合理吗?TikTok下一步的命运会是什么?即将到来的美国总统大选会对TikTok的结局带来什么影响? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑解析TikTok在美国的下场会如何?  延伸阅读: 韩咏红:看中美恶斗再升级 下午察:善变的特朗普救得了TikTok? Last week, the US House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed a bill that would mandate ByteDance, TikTok’s Chinese owner, to sell the popular short video app within 180 days or face a potential ban in the US. The bill, which passed with a vote of 352-65, is now headed to the Senate. The US lawmakers have expressed their concerns about ByteDance’s ties to the Chinese government, which could reportedly demand access to the personal data of TikTok’s millions of US users. Leading up to the vote, the representatives’ offices experienced a surge in calls from TikTok users opposing the legislation, with several dozens rallying outside the Capitol to show their support for the app. There are allegations that TikTok is exploiting its young American user base for political ends.    Are the demands of US politicians reasonable? What happens next for TikTok?   President Joe Biden has said that he would sign the bill if Congress passes it. How will the outcome of the TikTok bill be influenced by the upcoming US presidential election? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, talks about TikTok’s fate in the US. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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12 Mar, 2024
安静保守的马来村庄突然出现一家时尚女性内衣店,会发生什么事?由新加坡和马来西亚电影人合拍的电影《辣露娜》(La Luna)就是用喜剧的方式,展示了现代女性意识与宗教保守思想之间的微妙冲突。 电影今年2月9日在Netflix平台上线后大受欢迎,却在马来西亚回教社会掀起千层浪。 《辣露娜》反映了马来回教社群怎样的焦虑?面对全球化与西化的趋势,传统的马来社群有什么不安和反弹?个人自由与传统的冲突又应该怎么处理、怎么去平衡? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和马来西亚独立评论员及《联合早报》特约撰稿人林宏祥解析为何《辣露娜》会在马来西亚回教社会掀起千层浪。 延伸阅读: 对新马影视业感兴趣 古天乐投资现成马来语喜剧片 La Luna has faced criticism in Malaysia for allegedly insulting Islam and promoting soft pornography after it was released on the streaming platform Netflix in February. Although the film premiered in local cinemas last November, the controversies surrounding the Singapore-Malaysia co-production only emerged when it gained popularity globally and topped the charts on Netflix. Directed by Singaporean director M Raihan Halim, the Malay-language comedy tells the story of a city girl opening a lingeries store in a conservative village, portraying clashes between feminism and conservatism through humour.  How does La Luna reflect the anxieties within the Muslim community in Malaysia? In the era of globalisation, what insecurities and resistance do traditional Malay communities experience? How should the conflicts between personal freedom and tradition be navigated and balanced? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Malaysia’s independent political commentator Lim Hong Siang share their thoughts on how La Luna has highlighted the conflict between modernisation and religion. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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06 Mar, 2024
中国总理李强3月5日在一年一度的两会上公布中国今年的经济增长预期目标是5%左右。这个具有雄心的目标,显示中国有信心继续保持中高速的经济增长。中国也要发展新质生产力、培育新兴产业和未来产业,包括新能源汽车、新材料、生物制造、商业航天、量子技术、生命科学等。 然而两会开幕前,全国人大宣布今年的两会不再举行总理记者会,打破了一个三十多年的惯例。消息一出,除了引起各方震惊,也削弱了各方对政府工作报告的关注。 中国为什么不再举行总理记者会?这个决定引起了什么批评?市场如何看待政府工作报告里提出的经济政策?5%左右的经济增长目标可能达标吗? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红、华侨银行大中华区研究主管谢栋铭及《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远解析中国两会。 延伸阅读: 于泽远:中国为何不再举行总理记者会? 杨丹旭:熟悉的两会不同了 Chinese Premier Li Qiang unveiled China's economic growth target of around 5% for 2024 during the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), collectively known as the “two sessions” or “liang hui” in Chinese. This ambitious growth target reflects China's confidence in sustaining a moderately high-speed economic growth. The country aims to develop ‘new quality productive forces’ and emerging industries, spanning new energy vehicles, new materials, bio-manufacturing, commercial space exploration, quantum technology, and life sciences. However, ahead of the “two sessions”, the NPC announced that it would scrap the premier's annual press conference, ending a tradition maintained for three decades. This unexpected announcement surprised many and diverted attention from the government work report. Why did China decide to discontinue the premier's post-parliament press conference? What criticisms surround this decision? How does the market perceive the economic policies outlined in the Chinese government work report, and can the economic growth target be achieved?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Tommy Xie, Head of Greater China Research & Strategy at OCBC Bank and Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan to share their insights on China’s ‘two sessions’ this year. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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27 Feb, 2024
2月14日福建厦门与金门之间发生一起翻船事件,造成两个大陆渔民死亡。事发至今还无法了结。 台湾海巡署称,载有四人的大陆渔船当天违规越界进入台湾的禁限制水域,在被台湾巡逻艇拦截时,不慎翻覆才导致两个大陆渔民死亡。但是随着更多具体情节流出,外界才知道,台湾巡逻艇的船头原来曾经撞到大陆渔船的船尾。台湾海巡署又声称当时来不及录像,所以没有录像证据。 这起事件的众多疑窦让大陆网民群起激愤。大陆海警船、渔政船也开始在厦门与金门之间的水域进行常态化巡逻,两岸的紧张局势升高。这起意外,要如何善了? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红、《联合早报》中国新闻资深高级记者于泽远及台北特派员温伟中解析金门翻船事件。 延伸阅读: 金门渔民:野生黄鱼应节价飙 大陆渔民经常越界捕捞 韩咏红:金门翻船让大陆反切香肠推“行政统一” Tensions continue to escalate between China and Taiwan after a Chinese boat capsized near Kinmen on February 14, resulting in the death of two crew members. Kinmen is an island administered by Taipei but located just 5km from the mainland city of Xiamen.  The vessel, carrying four Chinese nationals, was pursued by the Taiwanese coast guard for intruding into prohibited waters. The two surviving Chinese fishermen were detained and deported back to mainland China a week after the incident. As more details emerged, public indignation grew. The fishermen claimed that their boat capsized because the Taiwanese coast guard’s patrol boat had collided with it. Taiwan’s Coast Guard Administration (CGA) subsequently admitted to collisions and stated it was unable to record video evidence of the incident.  Following the fatal incident, Beijing stepped up patrols around Taiwan’s waters. China claims Taiwan as part of its territory, and has never renounced the use of force to try to bring the self-ruled island under its control. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan and Taipei correspondent Woon Wei Jong to dissect how the Kinmen boat incident may affect cross-strait relations. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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20 Feb, 2024
今年2月4日,世界球王梅西所属的迈阿密国际足球俱乐部到香港参加表演赛,门票一早被抢购一空,还有中国内地球迷专程飞到香港看梅西。结果梅西完全没下场。比赛结束时,不满的观众大声喝倒彩,要求退票。这件事在香港引起轩然大波。梅西被质疑故意让香港难堪。 一波未平一波又起,一个多星期后,著名经济学家、摩根士丹利前亚洲区主席罗奇又在报章上撰文称:香港玩完了。罗奇的的证据是:1997年7月1日香港回归当天,香港恒生指数收盘1万6000点。如今,恒指也差不多是这个水平,等于回到原点。 过去几年,香港已经很少有让人乐观的新闻。香港玩完了,这是真的,还是国际舆论再次合力“唱衰”香港?这颗东方之珠要怎么重现昔日光彩? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和香港城市大学法学院教授、中国法与比较法研究中心主任王江雨从罗奇的撰文和梅西事件谈香港到底怎么了? 延伸阅读: 梅西:香港未登场与政治因素无关 李玉林:“梅西事件”照出了什么? Lionel Messi’ failure to play in the much-hyped friendly match sparked outrage in Hong Kong. The controversy intensified when the Argentinian football star took part in a match in Tokyo a few days later. The organiser of the ill-fated match in Hong Kong, said it would offer refunds of 50% in face of harsh criticisms from the Hong Kong government and football fans. Chinese state media and Hong Kong legislators have suggested that the debacle was a politically motivated snub. About a week later, Stephen Roach, a renowned economist and former chair of Morgan Stanley Asia wrote in a Financial Times commentary: “It pains me to admit it, but Hong Kong is now over.” He mentioned that the Hang Seng Index has been basically flat since the handover to China in 1997, and pointed out that the former British colony had the world’s worst-performing major stock market in the last 25 years. The Hang Seng index last month dropped below the 15,000-point mark, a return to levels not seen since 1997.     .  Confronted by dwindling optimism and international scepticism, what can Hong Kong do to regain its former glory? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong invites Professor Wang Jiang Yu from the City University of Hong Kong School of Law to weigh in on these issues and explore the implications for Hong Kong's future. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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06 Feb, 2024
世界第四人口大国印度尼西亚将在2月14日举行五年一次的全国大选。在印尼2亿7000万人口中,有大约2亿名合格选民。他们将在三组候选人中,也就是国防部长普拉博沃、前雅加达特区首长阿尼斯及前中爪哇省省长甘查尔之中,选出他们心仪的候选人。 现任总统佐科不是候选人之一,但是他的影子却在这次选举中处处可见。佐科36岁的儿子吉布兰这次与普拉博沃搭档参选副总统。有人认为佐科在打造王朝政治。他为什么要这样做?以支持民主的形象上台的佐科是否晚节不保? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和著名印尼问题专家,新加坡尤索夫伊萨东南亚研究院资深访问研究员,南洋理工大学拉惹勒南国际研究院兼任教授廖建裕解析印尼总统大选。 延伸阅读: 廖建裕:辩论会后的印尼总统选举 国际特稿:印尼总统选举酝酿合纵连横 普拉博沃力拼一击即中 In what has been termed the world’s biggest election to be held in a day, approximately 205 million Indonesians are eligible to vote for their next president and vice-president on February 14. The voters will also choose their executive and legislative representatives at all administrative levels across the world's fourth most populous nation. The three pairs of candidates vying for president and vice-president include the defence minister Prabowo Subianto, former governor of Jakarta Anies Baswedan, and former Central Java governor Ganjar Pranowo.   Incumbent president Joko Widodo, popularly known as Jokowi, is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term. However, Mr Widodo’s influence is evident throughout this election. His eldest son, Gibran Rakabuming Raka, 36, is running for vice-president alongside Mr Prabowo. Dynastic politics has been the subject of debate and dominated the headlines, with some accusing Mr Widodo of attempting to retain his influence after leaving office. What are his intentions? Has he overplayed his hand? In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Dr Leo Suryadinata, Senior Visiting Fellow at ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute and Professor (Adj.) at S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies at Nanyang Technological University, takes a deep dive into the upcoming Indonesia election with host Han Yong Hong.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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30 Jan, 2024
以色列和哈马斯之间的冲突持续影响中东地区。战火已经从加沙蔓延到也门、黎巴嫩、叙利亚、伊拉克、伊朗、巴基斯坦,在中东周边遍地开花。 从去年11月开始,以也门为基地的胡赛武装组织不断袭击和威胁穿行红海的货船。军事威胁导致苏伊士运河这条国际重要航道的运输量在过去两个月里大减四成。 中东危机正在朝向大规模冲突演变。美国和伊朗在濒临直接交战吗? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和台湾文化大学政治系教授王顺文深入分析中东和红海的局势。 延伸阅读: 分析:红海危机对供应链破坏大于冠病疫情初期 社论:红海危机威胁全球经济 The reverberations of the Israel-Hamas conflict continue to be felt across the Middle East, spreading from Gaza to Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Pakistan with tensions escalating in the region.  Since November 2023, the Yemen-based rebel group Houthi has been attacking and threatening commercial ships in the Red Sea. These military threats have resulted in a 40% reduction in shipping through the Suez Canal, a vital global waterway, over the last two months. The Middle East crisis is heading towards a potential large-scale conflict. Is the United States on the brink of direct confrontation with Iran?  In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Professor Wang Shun-wen from the Department of Political Science at Chinese Culture University in Taiwan shares his insights on the situation in the Middle East and the Red Sea.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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22 Jan, 2024
美国共和党党内初选1月15日开跑。前总统特朗普旗开得胜,赢得艾奥瓦州初选。在共和党内所有参选人之中,特朗普民意的支持度高达六成。他的民调和现任总统拜登也不相上下。随着他在共和党内的主要竞争对手罗恩·德桑蒂斯宣布退选,特朗普很可能再次代表共和党和拜登一较高下。 英国《经济学人》杂志警告,特朗普是 2024年世界的最大危险。欧洲中央银行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德也表示如果特朗普当选美国总统,对欧洲是个威胁。特朗普卷土重来,引起大家的担忧。他们到底在害怕什么? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑深入分析特朗普再当选的“优”与“忧”。 延伸阅读: 韩咏红:特朗普阴影笼罩2024年 金建国:拜登竞选之路崎岖不平 Former President Donald Trump made a triumphant start in his re-election bid by securing a resounding win in the first 2024 Republican presidential contest in Iowa, solidifying his front-runner status in the party. With his main rival, Ron DeSantis, dropping out of the race, Trump looks set to represent the Republican Party in a rematch with the current US President Joe Biden. The Economist asserts that Trump presents the “biggest danger” to the world in 2024. European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has also stated that a re-election of Trump as US president would represent a "threat" for Europe. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, weighs the pros and cons of a second Trump presidency.  Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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16 Jan, 2024
2024年台湾总统选举已经在1月13日落幕。民进党籍的候选人赖清德以四成选票在三角战中胜出。 迎接赖清德的绝非坦途。民进党失去了立法院多数优势,他将是一个弱势总统,领导一个弱势政府,面对来自内外的压力。美国总统拜登在第一时间就直言,美国不支持台独。南太平洋岛国瑙鲁也在两天内宣布与台湾断交,与中国大陆建交。 在这次选举前,北京已经将赖清德定性为台独顽固份子,并且警告如果赖清德当选,两岸将风高浪急。这次选举后,台海两岸的关系会出现怎样的新局?陆美台三方互动又会怎样影响台湾的发展以及亚太和平? 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和淡江大学荣誉教授、亚太和平研究基金会及遠景基金会首席顾问赵春山详细解析。 延伸阅读: 分析:新总统520就职前北京将加大对台军事与经济施压 于泽远:赖清德上台将引发台海战争? The presidential candidate of Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), William Lai Ching-te, secured victory in the election on Jan 13, winning 40.1 percent of the vote in a three-way race.  Challenges loom for the newly elected leader. With the DPP losing its majority in the legislature, Mr Lai will face difficulties passing policies or setting the agenda. Shortly after the election, US President Joe Biden emphasised that the United States does not support Taiwan’s independence. Additionally, one of Taiwan’s remaining diplomatic allies, the Pacific Islands nation of Nauru, announced it was breaking ties with the island in favour of China, just days after the election. In the lead-up to the election, China repeatedly labelled Mr Lai as a dangerous separatist, warning that a win for the independence-leaning DPP’s candidate would pose a danger to relations. How will the outcome of Taiwan’s election impact cross-strait relations? How will the interactions among Mainland China, Taiwan and the US influence peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region?         In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong and Tamkang University’s Graduate Institute of China Studies Honorary Professor Chao Chun-Shan discuss Lai’s win and its impact on cross-straits relations. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.
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